Poll: Organized Crime Expands in Brazil, Hitting 28.5 Million People

News
October 17, 2025

Criminal factions and paramilitary mafia groups have expanded their footprint in Brazil and now reach the neighborhoods of at least 28.5 million people, according to a Datafolha poll commissioned by the Brazilian Forum on Public Safety. 

Conducted June 2-6 with 2,007 respondents in 130 municipalities across all regions, the survey finds that 19% of the population lives in areas with an organized crime presence – up five percentage points from last year’s 14%.

The phenomenon is reported more often in state capitals, large cities, and the Northeast, and affects both lower and higher-income groups at similar rates. Exposure is higher among Black Brazilians (23%) than among white Brazilians (13%).